Analisis Faktor Determinan PDB Negara Anggota G20

Emilio Pascal(1*), Masruri Muchtar(2), Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing(3)

(1) 
(2) Politeknik Keuangan Negara STAN (PKN STAN)
(3) BPS-Statistics Indonesia
(*) Corresponding Author

Abstract


This study develops the Solow growth model to explore the determinants of GDP. The purpose of this study is to examine which factor has the most influence on GDP. This study uses panel data regression. The variables used include GDP, FDI, productivity, labor, and the inflation rate during the 2012-2017 period obtained from the World Development Indicators, World Bank. The results showed that the labor and productivity variables had a significant positive impact on GDP. Meanwhile, FDI has no significant adverse effect on GDP. Inflation has no significant positive impact on GDP. The government can focus on increasing labor productivity to reap significant returns on economic growth. The recommendation from this research is that the government should formulate policies that can boost productivity to boost economic growth by providing skills training programs for prospective workers, as well as providing incentives so that more jobs can absorb labor and create competition.


Keywords


FDI; GDP; Inflation; Labor; Productivity

Full Text:

PDF (Indonesian)

References


Alfaro, L. (2003). Foreign Direct Investment and Growth: Does the Sector Matter? *. https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Foreign-Direct-Investment-and-Growth%3A-Does-the-*-Alfaro/7800b094ee3c677a2b729345eeb05c696ed9a2e0

Anidiobu, G. A., Okolie, P. I., & Oleka, D. C. (2018). Analysis of inflation and its effect on economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(1), 28–36.

AUTOMOBILE: FORD AND GENERAL MOTORS. (n.d.).

Baltagi, B. H. (2021). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53953-5

Baltagi, B. H., & Wu, P. X. (1999). Unequally Spaced Panel Data Regressions with AR(1) Disturbances. Econometric Theory, 15(6), 814–823. JSTOR.

Barro, R. J. (2013). Inflation and economic growth. Annals of Economics & Finance, 14(1).

Cowen, T., & Tabarrok, A. (2019, May 6). Principles of Economics: Macroeconomics. Marginal Revolution University. https://mru.org/principles-economics-macroeconomics-0

Dalgaard, C.-J., & Strulik, H. (2013). The history augmented Solow model. European Economic Review, 63, 134–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2013.07.001

Eggoh, J. C., & Khan, M. (2014). On the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth. Research in Economics, 68(2), 133–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2014.01.001

Farsio, F., & Quade, S. (2003). An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between GDP and Unemployment. Humanomics, 19(3), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1108/eb018884

Gujarati, D. N. (2022). Basic econometrics. Prentice Hall.

KASIDI, F., & MWAKANEMELA, K. (2013). Impact of Inflation on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Tanzania. Asian Journal of Empirical Research, 3(4), 363–380.

Katircio?lu, S., Fethi, S., & Caner, H. (2014). Testing the higher education-led growth hypothesis in a small island: An empirical investigation from a new version of the Solow growth model. Quality & Quantity, 48(2), 729–744. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-012-9798-9

Korkmaz, S., & Korkmaz, O. (2017). The Relationship between Labor Productivity and Economic Growth in OECD Countries. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(5), 71. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v9n5p71

Mankiw, N. G. (2016). Macroeconomics (Ninth edition). Worth Publishers.

Nizar, C., Hamzah, A., & Syahnur, S. (2013). PENGARUH INVESTASI DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SERTA HUBUNGANNYA TERHADAP TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA.

Okun, A. M. (1963). Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance. Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics at Yale University. https://books.google.co.id/books?id=6p7NYgEACAAJ

Ridha, M. R., & Budi Parwanto, N. (2020). The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment, Human Development and Macroeconomic Condition on Economic Growth: Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics, 8(2), 46–54. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jiae.2020.008.02.5

Sandhika, A. W., & Hendarto, M. (2012). ANALISIS PENGARUH AGLOMERASI, TENAGA KERJA, JUMLAH PENDUDUK, DAN MODAL TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI KABUPATEN KENDAL. Diponegoro Journal of Economics, 1(1), Article 1.

Sasaki, H. (2019). The Solow growth model with a CES production function and declining population. Economics Bulletin, 39(3), 1979–1988.

Saymeh, A. A. F., & Abu Orabi, M. M. (2013). The Effect of Interest Rate, Inflation Rate, GDP, on Real Economic Growth Rate in Jordan. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(3), 341–354.

Solow, R. M. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513

Solow, R. M. (2016). Resources and Economic Growth. The American Economist, 61(1), 52–60. https://doi.org/10.1177/0569434515627092

Tien, N. H. (2021). Relationship between inflation and economic growth in Vietnam. Turkish Journal of Computer and Mathematics Education (TURCOMAT), 12(14), 5134–5139.

Tung, P. H. (2021). Relationship between Labor and Economic Growth in Vietnam: Practice and Forecast: Economic. European Journal of Business and Management Research, 6(4), Article 4. https://doi.org/10.24018/ejbmr.2021.6.4.995

WDI - Home. (n.d.). Retrieved January 27, 2023, from https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.30998/sosioekons.v15i2.17009

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2023 Emilio Pascal, Masruri Muchtar, Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

Editorial Office:

Institute for Research and Community services (LPPM)
Universitas Indraprasta PGRI

Address: Campus A Building 3, 2nd Floor
Jl. Nangka No. 58 C (TB. Simatupang), Kel. Tanjung Barat, Kec. Jagakarsa, Jakarta Selatan 12530 Phone: (021) 7818718 – 78835283 ext. 123
Close in sunday and public holidays in Indonesia
Work Hour: 09.00 AM – 08.00 PM



Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.